Let's look at the facts about warm weather in Pittsburgh over the last 30 years, as published by the NOAA's National Weather Service:
The average annual HIGH temperature is 60.7 degrees.
The average HIGH temperatures in June, July and August are 79.1, 82.5 and 81.4, respectively.
The average annual number of days with a HIGH of 90 degrees or above is 7.5.
The average number of days in June, July and August with a HIGH of over 90 degrees is 1, 3 and 2.5, respectively.
Temperatures get above 100 in July ONCE every 5 years.
Temperatures get above 100 in August ONCE every 10 years.
The most intense heat wave experienced in Pittsburgh was from July 8-15, 1936 when the daily temperatures were 95, 101, 101, 94, 98, 93, 102 and 91.
On the other hand:
The average annual number of days with a HIGH below 32 degrees is 32.
The average monthly precipitation in June, July and August is 4.3 in., 3.83 in., and 3.48 in., respectively.
The average annual precipitation is 38.19 in.
The average annual number of days with precipitation in excess of .01 in. is 151.2.
The average annual number of days with precipitation in excess of .10 in. is 83.1.
The average annual number of days with precipitation in excess of .50 in. is 24.3.
The average annual number of days with precipitation in excess of 1.0 in is 5.9.
The average number of days in June, July and August with precipitation in excess of .10 in is 7.9, 6.8 and 5.8.
What do these 30 year statistics tell us? Living in Pittsburgh it is considerably more likely that it will rain in June, July and August than it is that the High temperature will exceed 90 degrees. In fact, on average each year, we will have about 143 more days with rain than we will have days with a temperature of over 90 degrees. It is about 4 times more likely that that High temperature will be below 32 than over 90 degrees.
So, if you're asking me to choose between not playing on one of the 8 days above 90 degrees or not playing on one of the 151 days that it will rain, I'm certainly going to choose the former. This analysis further underscores the significant increase in playing time that would be afforded to our community with the addition of turf. Even if we imposed a strict "No Play Over 90" policy to the turf, we would still experience far fewer cancellations than we would rain outs on a grass surface.
Next, it is important to understand that playing games and practicing in the heat have always required some element of time management. For example, the student-athletes who use the HS turf in the late Summer months for football, soccer and field hockey training generally do so early in the morning and later in the day to avoid the more extreme heat of the day. That's just good common sense.
http://www.weather.com/weather/wxclimatology/monthly/graph/15222
ReplyDeleteAnd wouldn't you know it, the average temp published on weather.com is a full FIVE degrees more than the numbers you published for July.
Every day in July has been higher than the published weather.com averages which were already five degrees warmer than your published average.
The problem I have with your 62% number (which is another lie) is that you have no idea how it was contrived and you in no way took into account weather related (heat) closures of the artificial but of course on the other side you take into account every sprinkle on natural grass.
Get real. As in get real grass.
Dave,
ReplyDeleteSorry buddy, but at least one of those surveys was done at none other than The Penn State University.
Checking my map, and yup, sure enough, Penn State University is in Pennsylvania, not Texas.
You are too far into this Dave. You are desperate for this turf for some reason and I don't know why.
Are you seriously suggesting that you can't play on the grass fields 151 days out of the 365 of the year?
ReplyDeleteGive me whatever you are smoking!
Anon 10:43 and 10:50, I'd be happy to review the NOAA/NWS 30 year data with you, as well as the PSU study (which I think used indoor lamps). I'd be willing to discuss those studies and other turf issues at your convenience. I'd be happy to share with you the 62% analysis as well. Tomorrow evening or Monday evening would work for me. Let me know. Thanks.
ReplyDeleteDave
Of course not 10:53. My comparison was intended to demonstrate that rainouts are far more likely than "heat outs".
ReplyDeleteDave
Dave,
ReplyDeleteI believe the 62% increase in field availability that you cite is actually low. Many people in the community have absolutely no idea how many different sports teams actually compete for field space.
In soccer alone, we have boys and girls varsity, boys and girls JV, boys and girls 9th grade, in addition to multiple boys and girls teams in AAU soccer, Cup soccer, TOP soccer, travel soccer and rec soccer across 12 grades.
If your graphs showed not just the sport, but how many teams actually compete for the limited field space, I think it would show a much more dramatic and realistic view of this problem.
ps. make that 13 grades - I forgot micro soccer.
Although this summer was a drought year, I think you could pretty easily compile the number of lost games and practices for baseball and softball based on the make up dates over the past few years. Numerous practice days and games were missed on the Mellon quagmire. Multiple Rec soccer games on Wildcat were lost this past fall and spring because of the poor drainage system.
ReplyDeleteRather interesting to see 10:43's post calling you a liar, when this person obviously has no knowledge of how the percentage was derived.
ReplyDeleteBe careful David, the weather police are never wrong.
Joe Seditwood
Sadly, but not surprisingly, the folks who have anonymously challenged the proposal and called me a liar have all refused my invitation to meet and discuss these issues. My invitation remains open whenever you're ready to stand up. Feel free to bring a friend.
ReplyDeleteDave